Critical Care for
Companies®
Turnaround Step 7: Diagnosing Your Business Problems
Why you should read this section
“Things which matter most must never be at the mercy of things that
matter least.”
---
Goethe---
Pareto's Principle
What did Vilfredo Pareto discover that could save your business?
Vilfredo Pareto was an Italian economist who, in 1897, discovered
something fascinating about wealth distribution. He found there was a
consistent mathematical relationship between the proportion of people
and the amount of income or wealth that this group enjoyed. Basically,
he found that roughly 20% of the population held 80% of the wealth.
Pareto further discovered that he could reliably predict that 10% would
have perhaps 65% of the wealth and 5% would have 50%. The key point is
not the percentages, but the fact that the distribution of wealth across
the population was predictably unbalanced.
By the way, Richard Koch has written an excellent book on this topic
called the "80/20 Principle-The Secret To Success By Achieving More With
Less".
So Pareto's Law came to be known as the 80/20 Principle. This principle
asserts that a minority of causes or inputs usually lead to a majority
of the results or outputs.
Why the 80/20 Principle can save your business
The power of this law or principle lies in its simplicity and
reliability in predicting where success and failure can be found. For
example, what if you knew (based on this principle) that only 20% of
your products accounted for 80% of your sales or profit to your
business? And conversely, that 80% of your products only accounted for
20%. If your business needed turning around, then this would be one
place to start that process. You would begin to pare down the number of
products that you offered and reorganize the organizational chart and
overhead to match this smaller offering.
In using Pareto's Law to diagnose business problems remember this.
Usually the percentages are not exactly equal to 80/20. That is not the
point. What is important is to locate the disproportionate relationship
between different variables.
Examples of Pareto's Law in a business:
-
20% of customers account for 80% of your revenue
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20% of customers also account for 80% of your accounts receivable.
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When you age your accounts receivable, you will most likely find that
only 20% of the past due accounts will be responsible for 80% of the
balance.
The point of all this is to quickly allow you to narrow your analysis
scope and focus on the most significant problems and opportunities.
Most turnarounds need to downsize
In most turnaround situations, you will need to scale back and downsize
your business. One way to do this is by focusing on the 20% of the
products or services that account for the majority of the sales &
profit. What if you eliminated all or some of the products not included
in the top 20%? Alternatively, what if you started raising prices on
those products rather then eliminating them? Very quickly, you could
have a major positive impact on your business.
We will get into employee lay-offs in another section of this website,
but for now remember that this principle applies to staffing as well.
You will most likely find that only about 20% of your employees account
for 80% of the productivity or work. Most businesses have picked up a
lot of "dead wood" employees and of course this is a major expense area.
Strategic Core Competencies
The next diagnostic tools we will explore is the concept of Strategic
Core Competencies. What you must locate in your business are the few
products, profit centers, or business units, which will support a
profitable and reorganized business. These areas will most likely
contain your organization's Strategic Core Competencies.
Robert Bradford & J. Peter Duncan have done some great work on the
subject of Strategic Core Competencies. I recommend their book
"Simplified Strategic Planning-A No Nonsense Guide For Business People
Who Want Results Fast".
Strategic
Core Competencies (SCC)
Imagine that you are
holding a box that contains something of great value to your customers
and no one else has it or can even copy it without great difficulty. Do
you think you could make any money with it? Of course you could! That's
the "holy grail" in business- to have something that is both valuable
and unique, something that customers really want and that makes you
different from other competitors. Such things are called Strategic Core
Competencies and you should find yours.
However, SCCs are not
like many other things in business. You cannot go anywhere and buy a
SCC, the way you can purchase a machine, acquire a patent, or even hire
an employee. That is because true SCCs are different. They are
intellectual assets, not physical assets, and
they are the hidden drivers behind most successful modern companies.
SCC Mix
is important and is usually a combination of 3 things:
-
Skills:
a skill is any manual or mental activity that arise from talent,
training, or practice
-
Process:
a process is any manual or mental systematic series of actions that
are directed toward some end. Include any significant "know-how"
resident in your company
-
Knowledge:Knowledge
includes any information, data, or understanding of facts or
principles resident in your company
Significant value to
customers & unique to competitors
What makes it a
strategic competency is that the particular combination is also of
significant value to your customers and rather unique among competing
companies. A SCC becomes a weapon that companies can use to win the
battle for competitive advantage. It can be used over a long period of
time. In addition, it's usually knowledge- based.
SCC must pass 4
specific tests
-
Is it
a combination of skills, processes, and knowledge?
-
Does
it differentiate the company from the competition?
-
Does
it create strong value for the customers?
-
Is it
difficult to copy?
Deep diagnostic dive
Finally, if you are still at a loss in locating the big problem areas or
the key areas to rebuild your business around, then you will need to
move into a more detailed analysis.
By going into a more extensive diagnostic assessment, you will be
looking for answers to the following questions:
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How serious is the situation? Is your company critically ill?
-
How rapid is the downturn? How rapidly and forcefully must you start
the turnaround?
-
What caused the downturn? Do the problems continue?
-
Does your company mostly need a strategic turnaround (profit
improvement) or financial restructuring (debt reduction)? If you need
both, which should you tackle first?
-
What are the major weaknesses and strengths? Can the business survive
a turnaround? What weaknesses jeopardize it?
In order to answer those questions, you may need to find answers to the
following "audit" type questions, which go into a much finer level of
detailed analysis.
Arnold S. Goldstein in "Solving Business Problems" has an excellent set
of questions if you need this more detailed analysis. He calls it
"Cat-Scanning your business".
Survey your financials-start with 3
years of profit & loss statements
ü
What is
your break-even point?
ü
How far
below or above break-even point are you operating?
ü
What can
your break-even point be reduced to? How quickly?
ü
What are
your overall sales trends? By product? Line? Division?
ü
What are
your margin trends? Expense trends?
ü
What
factors caused your losses?
ü
What
profits come from each product? Line? Division?
ü
Who are
your biggest customers?
Balance Sheet trends for the past 3
years show your financial strength & weakness from a different
perspective
ü
Are fixed
assets valued accurately?
ü
Are
accounts receivable verified and accurate?
ü
Do
accounts receivable collections depend upon contract completions or
continued business operations?
ü
Is the
inventory accurate?
ü
Are the
inventories salable, obsolete, or slow moving?
ü
Are there
valuable patents, trademarks, copyrights or other intangible assets?
ü
What
assets are leased or financed?
ü
What
equipment can be sold?
ü
What
assets are unessential and can be sold?
ü
What is
the amount and aging of each trade obligation?
ü
Will
slow-payment or non-payment of trade obligations affect continued
supply?
ü
How are
overdue payables handled?
ü
What are
the past-due tax obligations?
ü
What tax
collections are threatened?
ü
Are
secured debts and leases current or in default?
ü
Is
foreclosure or repossession threatened on any secured or leased
equipment?
ü
What is
owed to pension plans?
ü
How
insolvent is the firm?
ü
How
illiquid is the firm?
In most cases, you will need to free
up cash fast, use these questions and bullet points to investigate this
area
ü
Turn
receivables, inventory, and equipment into cash to keep operating.
ü
Do you
have excess plant capacity?
ü
What is
your present and projected utilization of plant and equipment?
ü
What
plant or equipment you can sell without hurting present or future sales
or profits?
ü
What
improvements or upgrades can you make that will produce greater
efficiency and productivity?
ü
Do you
have sufficient current assets to maintain sales and positive cash flow?
Excess debt can always be reduced, but assets cannot always be
increased. Focus on one question-how can you transfer your assets and
liabilities to stay afloat?
Survey your organization
ü
What is
the organization chart? What organizational changes have occurred in the
past 3 years?
ü
What is
the detailed job description for each executive?
ü
What is
the composition of the board? How often does it meet?
ü
How
active is it in managing the company?
ü
What are
the staffing levels in each department?
ü
What are
the line and staff relationships within the organization?
ü
Is
management centralized or decentralized?
ü
What
changes in the organization are necessary to carry out the turnaround?
Survey your competitiveness
ü
Do you have a well-defined market niche?
ü
Do you follow industry trends?
ü
Can your company easily change and adapt?
ü
Who are your key customers?
ü
How profitable is each customer?
ü
Are relationships good with key accounts?
ü
Do others within your industry share your problems?
ü
Why are sales or market share shrinking?
ü
What products or lines are declining?
ü
What products sell well?
ü
Who are your key competitors? What is their advantage?
ü
What is your marketing strategy?
ü
Measure your marketing results. How can you improve those results?
ü
Which products or services produce your largest profits?
ü
Which products or services have the greatest growth potential?
ü
Which ones only tie up capital or lose money?
Survey your legal position-most turnarounds create a legal maze that
must be untangled early
ü
Does your business have multiple entities?
ü
Can you protect the healthy entities from the sick ones?
ü
What litigation could disrupt your business? Is foreclosure, seizure, or
repossession of key assets an immediate threat?
ü
Is there current or potential litigation from shareholders, franchisees,
customers or the government?
ü
Does the company have major claims against others? Can they be resolved
quickly to raise cash to rehabilitate the company?
ü
What contracts or affiliations limit the workout strategy?
ü
What regulations or laws limit turnaround options?
ü
Who are the major and essential suppliers?
ü
What debts are disputed?
ü
What debt has the company guaranteed?
ü
What are the loan renewal or expiration dates?
ü
What credit is available?
ü
What loans are in default?
ü
Can tax arrears be rapidly paid from cash flow?
ü
Will existing or threatened tax liens impede a reorganization?
ü
Are there threatened seizures of the business by any tax agencies?
ü
What is the remaining length of each lease?
ü
How important is each lease? Which can be terminated?
ü
Are important leases in default? Can they be cured?
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